The Signal And The Noise: The Art And Science Of Prediction by Nate Silver

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In The Signal and the Noise , the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all develop better foresight in an unpredictable world. In his quest to build a more accurate crystal ball, Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters in a range of areas, from the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, and studies what lies behind their success. What can we learn from their techniques? What patterns have they uncovered? And in a world of Big Data, are we getting any closer to the truth?

Publisher:	Allen Lane
Year:	2012
Binding:	Paperback
ISBN:	9781846147739
Condition:	Fair
Description:	Heavy. Cover worn and creased, water damage to some pages. Not pretty but perfectly readable.

Note: This image is from a stock photo and may differ from the actual cover.

SKU: 1601407
Location: Non Fiction